diagnostics, future scenarios and guidance on policies for global food and nutrition security

The FOODSECURE scenarios: process, storylines, quantification and results

A set of four new exploratory scenarios was developed that are specifically designed for food security analysis and modelling. The storylines were designed by stakeholders, and based on their input the drivers were quantified with well-known global integrated assessment models to assess global food security up to 2050.

Read the brief.

Four scenario's

Combining stakeholder input with rigour

4 Plausible future for FNS

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Why use scenario analysis?

Dedicated food security scenarios are missing in the literature

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Future food demand

Key drivers of change

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What if...? Scenarios 2010-2050

Food and nutrition security in the FOODSECURE scenarios

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What if...? Scenarios 2010-2050

Scenario visualisation

Scenario quantification

Toolbox of assessment models

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Scenario approach

Presenting

How were stakeholders involved?

1. They developed the storylines

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How were stakeholders involved?

2. Gave input into the quantification of drivers

Workshop

How were stakeholders involved?

3. Developed visions and policy options

Future trends on income poverty and inequality

Environmental impact

Implications for global environmental change and sustainability

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Climate change mitigation

Steering towards a +1.5 degree food system